Nocturne
Well-known member
Oh, I'll link to something that those with an interest in CAC might find interesting.
WARNING! This is easily the most positive and hopeful study regarding my personal situation that I have ever found on the web or anywhere else. It is the ONLY one that specifically tried to look at the average number of years of life lost due to different CAC scores at different ages. There is a lot of material out there that does NOT look this rosy (and honestly, even this doesn't look rosy for anyone who isn't White -- but I am White, so it's upbeat for me).
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0735109707019328
Pay special attention to the graphs about halfway down concerning "Predicted life expectancy by CAC scores in ethnic subsets" (you may have to download them to see them properly -- oddly, they looked fine on my iPhone!)
"The predicted changes in life expectancy for ethnic subsets by CAC score are shown in Figure 5.In each case across ethnic subsets, younger patients with CAC scores ≥100 to ≥1,000 had a reduced life expectancy. For 40-year-old NHW, life expectancy declined 2.0 to 5.9 years for CAC scores ≥100 to ≥1,000."
For some reason, Whites seem somehow resistant to the lifespan-reduction associated with high CAC scores. They are still associated for sure, but from what I'm reading, an African-American, Asian, or Hispanic person who has a CAC score of 1000+ at the age of 40 can expect to live 15 years less than average, while a similar White person loses only about 5 years on average.
For a guy like me, White and in his early 40s with a score of 156, it looks like I lose about 2-3 years. Which is a lot less deadly than I had thought.
It's also got to be based on mathematic supposition more than actual human data, because I can't imagine where they'd have found a significant number of actual 40 year olds with CAC scores higher than 400, let alone higher than 1000. So I'm not sure how legit it really is. But those graphs DO have a permanent home on my iPhone, and give me something positive to look at when things feel bad.
Another fun "nomogram" dealing with CAC and other factors is this one:
http://content.onlinejacc.org/article.aspx?articleid=2198998&resultClick=3
It took me a little while to figure out the "nomogram" these guys came up with, but it makes it look like my lifespan might not be as short as I had feared, even if CAC progresses relentlessly (not that it shouldn't be fought every step of the way!).
Even if my CAC hits 1000 by age 60, which it would at a modest progression rate of 10% per year, I still have a roughly 75% chance of making it to 75 if I can keep all other risk factors under control. Of course, the aortic stenosis will complicate that... But still, it doesn't seem as hopeless as I had feared.
My current CAC level, if you look at the graph, seems to present a risk of death just slightly higher than being diabetic -- but remember, it grows. It grows.
WARNING! This is easily the most positive and hopeful study regarding my personal situation that I have ever found on the web or anywhere else. It is the ONLY one that specifically tried to look at the average number of years of life lost due to different CAC scores at different ages. There is a lot of material out there that does NOT look this rosy (and honestly, even this doesn't look rosy for anyone who isn't White -- but I am White, so it's upbeat for me).
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0735109707019328
Pay special attention to the graphs about halfway down concerning "Predicted life expectancy by CAC scores in ethnic subsets" (you may have to download them to see them properly -- oddly, they looked fine on my iPhone!)
"The predicted changes in life expectancy for ethnic subsets by CAC score are shown in Figure 5.In each case across ethnic subsets, younger patients with CAC scores ≥100 to ≥1,000 had a reduced life expectancy. For 40-year-old NHW, life expectancy declined 2.0 to 5.9 years for CAC scores ≥100 to ≥1,000."
For some reason, Whites seem somehow resistant to the lifespan-reduction associated with high CAC scores. They are still associated for sure, but from what I'm reading, an African-American, Asian, or Hispanic person who has a CAC score of 1000+ at the age of 40 can expect to live 15 years less than average, while a similar White person loses only about 5 years on average.
For a guy like me, White and in his early 40s with a score of 156, it looks like I lose about 2-3 years. Which is a lot less deadly than I had thought.
It's also got to be based on mathematic supposition more than actual human data, because I can't imagine where they'd have found a significant number of actual 40 year olds with CAC scores higher than 400, let alone higher than 1000. So I'm not sure how legit it really is. But those graphs DO have a permanent home on my iPhone, and give me something positive to look at when things feel bad.
Another fun "nomogram" dealing with CAC and other factors is this one:
http://content.onlinejacc.org/article.aspx?articleid=2198998&resultClick=3
It took me a little while to figure out the "nomogram" these guys came up with, but it makes it look like my lifespan might not be as short as I had feared, even if CAC progresses relentlessly (not that it shouldn't be fought every step of the way!).
Even if my CAC hits 1000 by age 60, which it would at a modest progression rate of 10% per year, I still have a roughly 75% chance of making it to 75 if I can keep all other risk factors under control. Of course, the aortic stenosis will complicate that... But still, it doesn't seem as hopeless as I had feared.
My current CAC level, if you look at the graph, seems to present a risk of death just slightly higher than being diabetic -- but remember, it grows. It grows.