Another Huge Hurricane

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G

geebee

My sister, Rita, now has a hurricane named after her (and a few thousand other Ritas out there) and my SO is flying to Houston tonight to help his brother board up his home. We have quite a few members in the path of this storm so my prayers for safety go out to all of you.

Get out of the way, please, if you even slightly think you should. Take care.
 
When will they end? :(
Will there be tropical depressions at Thanksgiving? Christmas? :eek: :eek:
 
One friend lives 3 blocks from the Galveston seawall. She & her household have relocated about 75 miles north of there to a Houston suburb. One friend who lives in Richmond TX, southwest of Houston, says the nearest room at a pet-friendly hotel is in Norman OK, 3 hours north of Fort Worth and about 7-8 hours north of her home.
My husband's only living uncle resides in Freeport TX, right on the Gulf. I don't have his address or phone number and we want to make sure they're OK. His wife has had MS for several decades, probably 3-4, and is in very critical condition.

We are expecting to get storms here in the Fort Worth-Dallas area. We certainly could use the rain here, but not at the expense of others' property or lives.
 
920mb and 150mph. She's a border cat 4 going for 5!

In Ohio, tornadoes are enough for me. I cannot even fathom the thoughts of 155+ mph winds. I know what 75 to 90 are like. :eek:
 
To everyone in Rita's path:

PLEASE, PLEASE evacuate........and PLEASE DON'T LEAVE YOUR PETS AT HOME!!! Go as far as you have to to find a pet friendly hotel, campground or whatever you can. They depend on you for their life and survival....

May you all be safe. I will pray for you, as I'm sure everyone on this list will do, too.

Evelyn
 
Breaking News from ABCNEWS.com:

HURRICANE RITA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY 5 STORM
 
Praying for everyone. I hope all learn their lesson from Katrina and evacuate. Dick and I have been through quite a few hurricanes in the thirty years we have lived here on the Thames River at the mouth of Long Island Sound, but nothing like Katrina or Rita. The worse we have had is beach erosion, a lot of beach debris and loss of electricity for 5 days. Praying that our day won't come, but if it does, we would be out of here pronto.
 
I have found this to be the best hurricane watching site:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


000
WTNT43 KNHC 212052
TCDAT3
HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

AND YET ANOTHER CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE THIS SEASON. DATA FROM BOTH
NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT
PRESSURE DROP TODAY AND WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 145 KNOTS. THIS IS
BASED ON A 700 MB WIND OF 161 KNOTS RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR
FORCE PLANE AND A RECALIBRATED SFMR SURFACE WIND OF 146 KNOTS.
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE UNANIMOUSLY 140 KNOTS FROM ALL
AGENCIES. BECAUSE RITA WILL BE CROSSING AN AREA OF HIGH HEAT
CONTENT DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE
HURRICANE WILL MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH. THEREAFTER...THE OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT IS NOT AS HIGH AND THE INTENSITY CHANGES WILL BE CONTROLLED
MAINLY BY EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES AND DECREASING HEAT CONTENT.
SOME WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED BUT RITA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL
AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST CATEGORY THREE.

THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE IN THE STEERING PATTERN AND RITA IS MOVING
WESTWARD OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT
HAS BEEN FORCING RITA WESTWARD IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT
EASTWARD. THIS WILL ALLOW THE HURRICANE TO TURN GRADUALLY TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE
CORE OF RITA IS BASICALLY MOVING TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST AND THIS IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE HAS BEGUN TO EXPAND
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALREADY EXTEND ABOUT 150 N MI IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. BECAUSE ADDITIONAL EXPANSION OF THE WIND
FIELD IS ANTICIPATED...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
I flew out to Galveston every summer ..when I was age 15,16,17 and 18..to spend the summer with my Aunt Louise..they had a house in Galveston .but, a home on the water (Bay) for weekends....Swimming, water-skiing, ect.. Back then..in the late 50's..there were no interstates, ect.Just a nice, quiet town..And, yes, she told me of the great Hurricane in 1900..When my family would drive over..we would have to take a ferry to Galveston..so, yes, it's only one road out..towards Houston...Same thing I posted last week about Myrtle Beach, S.C. but, I'm thinking..after seeing the bumper-to-bumper traffic on the Interstate..on T.V..people can fan out soon..to many other roads...as soon as they cross the bridge..from Galveston..Can any of you Texans tell me the name of a small town..I think it starts with an A.. Saw my first rodeo there..not far from Galveston.. My memory is that Galveston was very flat..No hills, ect....Even all the way to Houston..50 miles away..Also, Texas City has the large gas refinery.. Not far from Galveston....I'm scared too..of all the tornados that will spend off from Rita. My village will never look the same..all trees gone....from a tornado after Katrina..... :eek: I think I just thought of the town..Alvin?Bonnie
 
Any members in the danger zone for Rita? Please let us know that you're all right after the storm. God bless and good luck.
 
Yaps said:
:eek: :eek: :eek: shaking my head... why oh why is mama nature so angry??? :eek:
Click to expand...

You know I've been wondering about that too...

I think we've been short sighted ( as usual ) about what we're doing, how we're building and polluting -- what we've done is really tiny though and the response is tiny too, a couple of cat 4-5 hurricanes ... we can take it as a wake-up call, and start noticing the other signs or we'll have to repeatedly lose pounds ( in cure ) where we should not have spared the ounces.

This is the text of the vortex data message from the hurricane center airforce pilots flying into the eye of the hurricane -- here is the updated message.

Reading that last sentence the reporting metereologist sounds almost hysterical about the "Stadium effect" -- must be an unbelievable sight for a guy like that to gush like this.
( look at the last sentences here for a description ): http://www.hurricanehunters.com/qdetails.htm

Code: 
000
URNT12 KNHC 220559
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/05:38:00Z
B. 24 deg 46 min N
  087 deg 34 min W
C. 700 mb 2218 m
D. NA  kt
E. NA  deg     nm
F. 139 deg 165 kt
G. 063 deg 012 nm
H.         898 mb
I.   9 C/ 3044 m
J.  28 C/ 3047 m
K.   3 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C16
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1  nm
P. AF307 1618A RITA         OB 04
MAX FL WIND 165 KT NE QUAD 05:34:00 Z
FREQUENT LIGHTNING
MODERATE TURBULENCE IN EYEWALL
EXTREMELY IMPRESSIVE STADIUM EFFECT IN MOONLIGHT

If their readings on eye size are accurate maybe rita is strengthening even more because I remember the eye circumference ( item: M above ) said "C20" in the last recon report ( i.e. the eye was 20 miles and circular then -- its 16 miles now -- signals a decreasing moment of inertia and increasing rotational speed, like an ice skater spinning faster when she/he pulls in the arms ) -- I dont know what effect this will have on the linear motion, maybe a more compact storm moves faster but higher wind speeds might mean faster dissipation of energy too ( faster weakening ).

Actually I just discovered how to pull old data from their server and will make plots tonite of eye size vs. rate of change of hurricane strength ( just as a way of wasting time from doing my "real' analysis ) -- maybe if I discover something I'll post it ...

At this point one can only watch and almost admire ( with dread ), we will maybe use *them* for energy one day...
 
CNN International

CNN International

Robert and I have been following the news on CNN and also our local channels here in Brazil. I was also wondering if Janet and Katie are ok, they live in Texas, don't they? I was telling Robert that if we were there, but out of harms way, we'd gladly have someone staying with us for a while even if the house got a bit over-crowded. Is there any chance some of you could do that to help a friend or someone you know? Just a thought! I'll keep my fingers crossed for all those who are about to be in one way or another, affected by this horrible monster! Thinking and praying for you all!!
Débora :mad:
 
Granbonny said:
I flew out to Galveston every summer ..when I was age 15,16,17 and 18..to spend the summer with my Aunt Louise..they had a house in Galveston .but, a home on the water (Bay) for weekends....Swimming, water-skiing, ect.. Back then..in the late 50's..there were no interstates, ect.Just a nice, quiet town..And, yes, she told me of the great Hurricane in 1900..When my family would drive over..we would have to take a ferry to Galveston..so, yes, it's only one road out..towards Houston...Same thing I posted last week about Myrtle Beach, S.C. but, I'm thinking..after seeing the bumper-to-bumper traffic on the Interstate..on T.V..people can fan out soon..to many other roads...as soon as they cross the bridge..from Galveston..Can any of you Texans tell me the name of a small town..I think it starts with an A.. Saw my first rodeo there..not far from Galveston.. My memory is that Galveston was very flat..No hills, ect....Even all the way to Houston..50 miles away..Also, Texas City has the large gas refinery.. Not far from Galveston....I'm scared too..of all the tornados that will spend off from Rita. My village will never look the same..all trees gone....from a tornado after Katrina..... :eek: I think I just thought of the town..Alvin?Bonnie
Click to expand...
The little town you are trying to remember..is it Alvin??
 
deboraginastewart said:
I was also wondering if Janet and Katie are ok, they live in Texas, don't they?
Click to expand...
Janet and Katie are in Arlington, near Dallas. We should get some bad weather, but nothing like the coast, so not to worry.

My mother, sister, and brother-in-law are in Houston. They've decided to ride out the storm. They are on the North side of Houston, not the areas expected to be hit hard (and not a high flooding area) and feel they'd rather leave the roadway to those who really need to get out. If you know my mom's anxiety about driving in traffic, I'm sure driving would probably be more worrisome to her than sitting through the storm. However, that doesn't mean I won't be thinking and praying hard about them when the storm hits. I offered for all of them to come up and stay with us, but they didn't want to leave... Said they made it through Alicia in '83 and could make it through this one too... I hope she's right.
 
It's looking like a lot of folks will be riding out this storm. My SO isn't sure he can even get back out of Houston now since he will be flying standby and may not get a flight. I am happy he went to help his brother but I am worried about all of them. I just have a feeling that this is going to be worse than anyone expects.

Please, let's start praying ahead of time that this is not a repeat of Katrina (or worse).
 
Burair,
Very interesting link you supplied. It seems even the hurricane hunters are impressed by Rita.
 
Gina, I will be saying prayers for your husband and his family and everyone else in this storms path. I can't believe there is another hurricane this big almost one month to the day as the other one. We spent a lot of time in Biloxi and New Orleans and can't believe the devastation Katrina did. We are praying that Rita somehow falls apart or grows weaker but it doesn't look like it. Also eveyone better fill up your cars today. Here in Georgia they are predicting another gas shortage and maybe 5.00 a gallon by the weekend.
 
After seeing what Katrina did, people are still willing to try and ride it out? Has everyone lost their marbles or just me?
 
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