I think it really dependso n the individual and their heart condition before and after surgery.
Repair jobs may not last as long as replacements, but then they might be the only surgery one needs for the rest of their life. It's really just relative to the individual.
Under "ideal" conditions, I guess artificial valves can last upwards of 30-40 years or more. However, "ideal" conditions would be opening and closing at the same rate with the same amount of force with no movement of the structure that the valve is installed in....
It's hard to mimic the conditions under which an artificial valve would operate while inside a human heart over the period of a lifetime.
I think the life expectancy of heart valves is based on known science in regards to the materials and how well they last under such conditions. It's a guess really, not something that's been tested a thousand times. That's impossible to do for technology that's only been around for maybe 20-30 years when patients might have the potential to live twice that with a "state of the art" valve.
I'm alive and healthy NOW. What comes down the road comes, there's no sense really worrying about it right now. I do the best I can to take care of myself. I eat right, I exercise, I stay away from smoking and alcohol and such and I'm doing what I can to keep my heart as healthy as I can for as long as I can.
Will my valve last 5 years? 10? 50? I don't know, ask me in another 50 years. =)
Besides, they tried DAMNED hard to kill me off before I got out of the hospital in May, 2003. If that experience didn't kill me, I don't really know what would. Before valve replacement, I was very aware of my own mortality having been born with a congenital heart defect, now, I'm not so sure I really am going to die.....
Yes, I'm being a smart ass.
I think I've earned it too.
In all seriousness though, it's just guesswork really, the valves they make these days have the POTENTIAL to last forever, whether they do or not really dpends on the person living with the valve more than anything else.