Nocturne,
First, keep in mind: everyone is different, progression varies with individuals, echo test results vary depending on many variables, and you pay more attention to your heart sounds once you know you have AO.
I first heard I had a heart mummer in 2007 when I was 64 years old. I had surgery last July, 2016 at age 73. I had a regular tricuspid valve, but later I found out, in my advance stage of stenosis, that two leaflets fused, giving some echo readings to question if I had a bicuspid valve. My valve area readings were as shown below:
Mar 2007 - 1.4 - "very slight AO"
Jan 2011 - 1.3 - "very mild AO"
Apr 2014 - 1.3 - "Mild AO"
Dec 2014 - 1.0 "moderate to moderately severe "
Jun 2015 - 0.9 "Mild to moderate ... Possible underlying bicuspid aortic valve. - Told to stop hiking 14,000 foot mountains
Jul 2015 (TEE) - "1.0 and 1.1 ... Tricuspid valve"
Dec 14, 2015 - 0.8 either "severe AO" or "moderate server" from two places in echo report
Dec 30 2015 - cath test results said 1.4 "moderate AO" and no clogged arteries".
(After this, I switched cardiologists)
Mar 2016 - stress test and echo test - "0.9" New cardiologist said to loose weight and that I was not ready for surgery but don't hike 14,000 foot mountains
Jul 21, 2016 - stress test showed serious condition on EKG, one that most people need shocked to get hart started again
my cardiologist demanded I have surgery immediately. Cat test that night showed one clogged artery.
Jul 22, 2016 - Surgery - replaced aortic valve and one bypass artery.
In my case, progression appeared to be slow from 2007 to 2014, then it approached the serious category when it came to valve area. However the other variables: gradient and ejection factor did not reach the serious category. In December 2015, I got so frustrated with the inconsistent results and doctors not giving me consistent answers, I switched cardiologist.
During 2015 and 2016, I was very concerned that I was serious but the numbers and docs did not agree. I stopped hiking 14,000 foot mountains, but I continued to be active around my home. In the back of my mind I kept hearing the statistics of "50% of serious AO patients die within two years, 75% in three years". I live in rural western PA, so getting fast care for an event is not possible. I monitored my heart closely and every evening I could feel and hear my heart struggling. Was it my imagination? Maybe, but maybe not.
The bottom line is, keep your own stats, ask questions, do research, and listen to your own body. However, don't fret unnecessarily or worry yourself to much. That is a fine line to walk.
My surgon told me that progession is about 0.3 cm per year, but that varies.
I know how much a PIA being in the waiting room is. I wish you the best.
Fred